Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
EVE
3 - 2
BOL
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
LEI
0 - 1
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
EVE
0 - 0
WIM
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
LEE
0 - 0
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
NEW
0 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 2
NEW
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |