Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1985 |
LEE
0 - 2
EVE
26%
30%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 1
LUT
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
IPS
0 - 2
EVE
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
EVE
3 - 4
CHL
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 3
NTT
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |