Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
EVE
0 - 1
SOU
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
LEI
1 - 2
EVE
38%
30%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
EVE
1 - 0
WBA
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
42%
29%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEE
28%
29%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
COV
0 - 3
NEW
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
36%
30%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 1
NEW
36%
29%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
NEW
0 - 1
TOT
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |