Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1958 |
EVE
1 - 4
PNE
32%
24%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
LEI
2 - 0
EVE
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
NTT
0 - 3
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
BPO
0 - 1
EVE
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
EVE
2 - 5
MAC
38%
23%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
BPO
3 - 0
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 5
BBU
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 3
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |