Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
EVE
0 - 1
WBA
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
BIR
1 - 3
EVE
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 2
MUD
26%
23%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 4
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 2
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
NEW
4 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
1 - 2
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |