Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
MID
0 - 1
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 0
WOL
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
EVE
2 - 0
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 1
EVE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 3
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
MID
3 - 2
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |