Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
BBU
3 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
EVE
3 - 2
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
EVE
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 2
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 3
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
SUN
1 - 0
NEW
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 1
BUR
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 2
HUR
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |