Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 1
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 0
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
SHE
2 - 1
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SHW
3 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
BOL
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |