Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
0 - 0
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1926 |
BBU
3 - 3
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 2
BCF
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIV
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
NEW
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1926 |
NEW
2 - 0
SHE
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1926 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |