Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 0
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 1
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1924 |
HUR
1 - 1
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NEW
0 - 1
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 2
TOT
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
TOT
2 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |