Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 0
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
2 - 0
EVE
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 2
EVE
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |