Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 3
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
EVE
0 - 1
PNE
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
EVE
2 - 2
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
BUR
5 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
WBA
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |