Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
1 - 1
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
0 - 1
EVE
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 4
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
2 - 5
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BBU
2 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |