Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 0
EVE
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 1
NOT
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
LEI
0 - 2
EVE
27%
23%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
EVE
3 - 2
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 9
SUN
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |