Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
2 - 0
EVE
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
4 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
6 - 0
FUL
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 0
BCF
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |