Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 1
EVE
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 0
BCF
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 0
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |