Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
MUD
4 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
EVE
2 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
COV
4 - 2
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
MUD
0 - 3
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
WBA
3 - 0
EVE
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
MID
3 - 2
ASV
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 2
MID
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1976 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
39%
29%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
WHU
0 - 1
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MID
0 - 2
IPS
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |