Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 2
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
5 - 1
EVE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
MID
3 - 0
WBA
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |