Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
22.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 4
EVE
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 1
FUL
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
FUL
1 - 1
EVE
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 2
WOL
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
MID
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
MID
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
MID
1 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
BRE
1 - 2
MID
32%
23%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |