Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
BBU
4 - 2
EVE
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
46%
22%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 2
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
MID
3 - 1
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |