Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 2
ASV
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
MAC
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |