Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 2
LIV
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MID
3 - 4
SUN
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
6 - 0
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1913 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |