Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 2
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
2 - 1
BBU
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
0 - 4
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 3
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
MID
1 - 1
BRA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 2
OLD
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |