Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 0
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
MAC
4 - 2
EVE
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1908 |
MID
2 - 0
SHE
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
MID
3 - 0
BBU
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
MID
1 - 1
NTT
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
CHL
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |