Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MID
2 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MID
5 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
9%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |