Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
BIR
0 - 2
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
NTT
0 - 1
EVE
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIV
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
EVE
2 - 0
MID
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 1
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
LEE
0 - 0
MUD
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 0
SUN
69%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 3
MUD
27%
28%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 1
COV
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |