Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 1
EVE
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 1
GRI
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 1
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
GRI
3 - 0
EVE
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
MUD
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 2
MUD
34%
26%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
0 - 2
BOL
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |