Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
OPA
2 - 2
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
36%
23%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAC
63%
18%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
WBA
2 - 1
EVE
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
EVE
2 - 3
MID
66%
16%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
68%
17%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
1 - 1
GRI
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
CHA
3 - 0
MUD
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
STO
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |