Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
GRI
0 - 3
EVE
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
EVE
4 - 5
LEI
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 2
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
WHU
3 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
SHW
7 - 2
MUD
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |