Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
4 - 1
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
EVE
4 - 2
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
SUN
7 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 3
HUR
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
1 - 1
HUR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MUD
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 0
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |