Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
0 - 1
WOL
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
EVE
3 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |