Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
1 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 1
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
LIV
0 - 5
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 0
WBA
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
SHW
1 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
NOT
4 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
MUD
2 - 0
BBU
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |