Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
MUD
0 - 1
EVE
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
BOL
0 - 0
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
MUD
0 - 1
EVE
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
BBU
0 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
MUD
1 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 3
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |