Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
MUD
4 - 1
SHW
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
7 - 4
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |