Everton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 3
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
EVE
4 - 2
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 1
BBU
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |