Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 2
EVE
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 2
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
STO
2 - 3
EVE
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
COV
2 - 2
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 0
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 1
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
MAC
5 - 0
LEI
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |