Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
EVE
2 - 1
IPS
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
WHU
1 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
STO
3 - 1
EVE
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
EVE
1 - 0
WBA
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 0
NTT
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
BHA
4 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |