Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1967 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
EVE
4 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
LEI
0 - 2
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
FUL
3 - 2
MAC
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEE
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
FUL
2 - 4
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
MAC
2 - 0
WOL
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |