Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1959 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
NEW
4 - 0
EVE
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
BOL
0 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
47%
23%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEI
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
PNE
2 - 0
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 4
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
3 - 1
WHU
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |