Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
4 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
MAC
2 - 2
DER
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1950 |
WOL
3 - 0
MAC
74%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
MAC
2 - 1
WOL
35%
25%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |