Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
13.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHW
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
WBA
3 - 1
EVE
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 3
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1932 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
46%
23%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 3
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |