Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
SUN
2 - 3
EVE
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1931 |
OPA
0 - 3
EVE
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
EVE
3 - 2
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1931 |
PNE
2 - 1
EVE
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
SOU
2 - 1
EVE
32%
23%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1931 |
MAC
3 - 0
DER
60%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
LEI
4 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1931 |
DER
2 - 1
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1931 |
MAC
1 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1931 |
BPO
2 - 2
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |