Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
BIR
1 - 3
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
SHW
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BOL
2 - 3
EVE
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
MAC
3 - 2
HUR
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BIR
4 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |