Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 1
EVE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 1
WBA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
5 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
BBU
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
BBU
0 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |