Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
NOT
1 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
1 - 2
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
2 - 3
WBA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |