Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 3
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
4 - 1
EVE
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
3 - 0
ARS
78%
14%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 2
DER
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 3
EVE
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
3 - 0
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |