Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 2
EVE
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 1
OLD
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
SHE
2 - 1
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 3
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
BRA
4 - 1
MAC
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
OLD
4 - 1
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |