Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 1
EVE
48%
23%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
DER
5 - 2
EVE
30%
26%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
BBU
4 - 0
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |