Everton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MID
2 - 2
EVE
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
4 - 1
NTT
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1906 |
SHW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
0 - 3
MAC
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
MAC
5 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1906 |
MID
6 - 1
MAC
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
0 - 3
MAC
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |