Everton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 1
EVE
27%
28%
46%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
EVE
0 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
19%
27%
54%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 3
OXF
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUT
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
LUT
0 - 0
SHW
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
2 - 0
LUT
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |